Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003033 0.003262 0.003512 0.003807 0.004150 0.004539 0.005020
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.002675 0.002976 0.003325 0.003770 0.004334 0.005042 0.006037
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002501 0.002858 0.003295 0.003887 0.004701 0.005835 0.007667
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002360 0.002754 0.003256 0.003973 0.005029 0.006655 0.009708
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002194 0.002595 0.003120 0.003897 0.005103 0.007103 0.011376
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002035 0.002428 0.002953 0.003749 0.005030 0.007279 0.012623
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001943 0.002342 0.002886 0.003736 0.005165 0.007860 0.015298
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001787 0.002159 0.002667 0.003467 0.004823 0.007422 0.014844
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001734 0.002113 0.002642 0.003494 0.005001 0.008101 0.018629
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001709 0.002104 0.002667 0.003603 0.005344 0.009284 0.026859
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001662 0.002060 0.002636 0.003615 0.005504 0.010102 0.036653
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001646 0.002059 0.002669 0.003737 0.005914 0.011848 0.071224
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001595 0.002008 0.002626 0.003731 0.006068 0.013017 0.151005
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001534 0.001939 0.002550 0.003660 0.006066 0.013684 0.404755
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001512 0.001927 0.002564 0.003755 0.006486 0.016489 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001486 0.001908 0.002567 0.003829 0.006879 0.019904 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001437 0.001850 0.002499 0.003756 0.006859 0.021074 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001379 0.001777 0.002402 0.003617 0.006630 0.020661 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001347 0.001742 0.002368 0.003604 0.006761 0.023109 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001275 0.001644 0.002223 0.003351 0.006154 0.019324 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001255 0.001625 0.002213 0.003376 0.006375 0.022378 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001249 0.001627 0.002238 0.003478 0.006857 0.029467 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.001228 0.001606 0.002222 0.003490 0.007058 0.034970 NaN